Afghan Abyss: Debunking the Misnomer (Part-2)

The unforgettable visuals of how two aircraft crashed into the World Trade Centre in Manhattan, USA still stands as a grim reminder of how deadly international terrorism can be. Credits: Michael Foran CC BY 2.0

DISCLAIMER: Arjun Writes does not endorse any political ideology whatsoever. Whatever is written herein are outcomes of my research work. Arjun Writes does not believe in any political ideology. Reader discretion to assess and form opinions is advised. Arjun Writes shall not take any responsibility for the reader forming their own perceptions.

September 11, 2001 began as usual for all New Yorkers. People rushing to their offices to begin work; the usual hustle and bustle of any Tuesday.But at 8:46AM, out of no where, a Boeing 767, flying low, was speeding above the skies of New York. Spectators below were baffled for a minute, seeing the aircraft approaching unusually low, and what happened next would shape the world order from then on.

The day is remembered as one of the most memorable in world history.4 passenger aircraft, loaded with fuel, were deliberately crashed into buildings of importance in the U.S.A. 3,000 people perished in that deadly attack on the World Trade Center twin towers and the Pentagon, while the fourth aircraft crashed in a field in Pennsylvania. The whole world was in a state of shock and awe.

Apart from the heavy outburst of emotions from the masses, things were heading towards a different angle within the White House. But if you read my previous blog, the war in Afghanistan and America’s funding of mujahideen ended in 1989 itself, so why did such a terrorist attack occur in the very first place?

I was very perplexed when I went through the timeline mentioned by famed war historian and author Tom Cooper, for which I eventually figured out the answer by conversing with him and another veteran author and historian, Ravi Rikhye. For now, let us withhold this point and re-examine the Afghan war timeline.

Back to 1989, Afghanistan:

The war in Afghanistan has come to an end. The Soviet armed forces are on a retreat, and as it happens, a power vacuum has been created in the nation. Now the next instinctual question would be: who would fill this power gap? Here starts the bigger problem. The various factions and groups of mujahideen created by the tripartite financing (by Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the U.S.A.) have started to in-fight amongst themselves, as to who would resume control of the “free” Afghanistan. Of all these groups, our focus would be on two of them: Al-Qaeda and the Taliban.

The infighting that began in 1991 continued on for another decade, but first, who are the Al-Qaeda and Taliban groups?

Al-Qaeda

When the 9/11 attacks happened, one name prominently stood out as the mastermind of the attack (at least for layman’s sake), and that was Osama Bin-Laden. Who is he? And what has he got to do with Al-Qaeda and 9/11? As most might have guessed, he was a dreaded terrorist who was behind the 9/11 terrorist attack.

Osama Bin Laden – the notorious name that has become synonymous with all our minds, when we talk of international terrorism. Credits: Vector Portal

A Brief History of Bin Laden: He was born to a wealthy Saudi family with Yemeni ancestry. His family had close ties with the Saudi royal family (which you’ll figure out is an important factor later on). Sometime in 1979, he joined the volunteer fighters on their way to Afghanistan. He acted as a liaison between local mujahideen fighters and the Pakistani ISI. Although having little combat experience, he did support the ‘jihad’ by providing funds (approximately 15-20 million dollars) from his family conglomerate, as well as setting up training camps for fighters inside Pakistan’s Khyber Pakhtunwa.

Contrary to popular opinion, Osama was never directly associated with the Americans. After the war in Afghanistan, Osama returned to Saudi Arabia to pursue his family’s construction business. He grew highly critical of the Saudi government’s decision to host American forces in Dhahran during Operation Desert Shield. He tried to convince the Saudi government and the Royal family to reconsider this and often became very critical overtly, causing Saudi Arabia to expel him. Having contacts with the royal family, he had the choice to move to a country of his choice, and hence, he moved to Sudan.

In Sudan, he continued to run his construction business, but his involvement in terrorism was still there. He funded the Algerian terrorism movement (which was subsequently repelled by the government), as well as joined hands with the Egyptian Islamic Jihad (EIJ). The CIA, around that time (in 1992-93), put him on the watch list.

As for Al Qaeda, it was founded by Osama bin Laden as early as 1988. Before that, he founded Makhtab al-Khidamat, an organisation set up to channel funds for the war effort in Afghanistan. The founding of Al Qaeda was a closely guarded secret until he officially split from al-Khidamat in 1988. Not many know this, but Al-Qaeda was funded by individuals from Saudi Arabia and the EIJ.

So why 9/11?

By 1998, Osama became very agitated with the Saudi government’s hosting of American forces in the Arabian peninsula, and to sort this out, he took things into his own hands. Sometime in 1994, Osama and Al-Qaeda shifted their base from Sudan to Afghanistan. In 1998, Osama issued a fatwa (a religious order) against the USA and vowed to attack the Americans right at their home… and that’s how the intent was set.

But who gave them the plans to hijack planes?

The far fetched intent of the 1993 WTC bombing was to have the towers ‘coming down crashing’, something that wouldn’t happen for another 8 years. Credits: U.S. The far fetched intent of the 1993 WTC bombing was to have the towers ‘coming down crashing’, something that wouldn’t happen for another 8 years. Credits: U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency

CIA intelligence suggests that plans to strike major cities in the USA were being drawn up as early as 1992. In 1993, intelligence gathered suggested that the World Trade Centre in Manhattan was a sure-shot target for an attack, and needless to say, the same year, on February 26th, 1993, a massive truck bomb exploded in the basement of the North Tower. The attack did not’send the tower crashing down’ as it intended to, but killed 6 and injured over a thousand.

Other targets included the Pentagon (which was eventually hit on 9/11), Capitol Hill, the White House, and the Bank of America in Los Angeles, to name a few.Unfortunately, the first two (the World Trade Center and the Pentagon) were hit, with the former destroyed completely. The Pentagon was hit by American Airlines Flight 77, killing 150 on the ground. The repairs were completed within a year’s time. The fourth aircraft crashed in a field in Shanksville, Pennsylvania.

The idea of hijacking a plane goes back to 1993, under what was known as the “Bojinka Plot”, wherein terrorists Remzi Yousef and Khalid Sheik Mohammed (both Pakistani nationals) planned a grand terror attack in the Philippines in January 1995, which included multiple bomb blasts in the Philippines, the assassination of then Pope John Paul II, blowing up 11 airliners heading towards the USA in mid air, and even crashing an aircraft into the CIA headquarters in Fairfax. The three-pronged plan was abandoned when one of the perpetrators was arrested following a fire in a hotel in Manila. Khalid Sheik Mohammad, who would later on mastermind 9/11, modified this idea to use entire aeroplanes as a weapon rather than planting explosives in them (which seemed dangerous after the failed Bojinka plot).

A map showing the flight path of the hijacked aircraft towards their crash sites. Credits: U.S. Government

If so much evidence was present, what was the US government doing to prevent the attack?

Since the Clinton presidency, various sources have hinted that a terrorist attack on the mainland US could occur at any time, but successive governments have done little to nothing to prevent it.From the 1993 World Trade Center bombing to 9/11, inputs were either ignored or could not be acted upon due to legal constraints.

Inputs suggesting a massive terror attack in the near future were being sent to the White House as early as June 29th, 2001. The big miscalculation by the US intelligence was that the attack could probably take place somewhere in Israel or Saudi Arabia, and not within the US itself. The usage of aircraft as a weapon was also a noticeable trait when a brief to the White House on July 10, 2001 stated that suspicious movements were taking place in flight schools across the USA. The presidential daily brief for August 6th, 2001, too, hinted at the same. Additionally, that same summer, intelligence inputs from the MI6 and Algerian intelligence also hinted at something similar, but the inputs were not acted upon.

Apart from ignoring intelligence, the legal framework for cooperation between the various law enforcement agencies prevented them from acting upon such inputs with autonomy. Another possible factor could have been the controversial 2000 US presidential election, when ended in a close call for George Bush’s victory. The issue with elections as a national security concern is that the results of elections may influence the national security policies of the leadership, which we shall look upon in Part 3 of this series.

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Afghan Abyss: Debunking the misnomer (Part 1)

Yesterday, August 15th, marked one year since the Taliban overthrew the Afghan national government to establish the Afghan Taliban Emirate. Afghanistan, in popular opinion, has become synonymous with never-ending violence and bloodshed due to the power struggles the nation has faced in the past four decades. However, people ignore the actual reasons behind why this all happened before they come to conclusions. This blog may shed some light on what occurred in Afghanistan…And perhaps debunk some rumours too.

An Afghan Mujahideen fighter poised with his hand held Stinger missile launcher, sometime during the Afghan-Soviet war. Credits: NARA & DVIDS

DISCLAIMER: This article does not portray the perspective of any political organisation or ideological faction and is wholly my POV. I do not endorse any kind of political ideology in any of my blogs whatsoever. However, this article has been constructed with my takeaways from the interactions I’ve had with individuals or reading up sources online, who/which have been duly credited for.

I’m quite an active individual when it comes to conversations which intrigue me at an intellectual level, and last night, there I was having a conversation with two prominent defence historians Tom Cooper, a renowned author who has published over 30 odd books pertaining to war history; and Ravi Rikhye, who has written extensively on the Indo-Pakistani wars. As I mentioned earlier, yesterday marked one year since the Taliban government took power in Afghanistan. I had read a brief timeline of events given by Mr. Tom Cooper (which I have paraphrased here for the reader’s perusal):

Afghanistan’s Modern History: Where Did All This Abyss Begin?

Afghanistan, albeit being poor and secluded, was quite a prosperous nation in the 1960’s and 70’s. It had a non-aligned foreign policy, hence it never took part in any international bloc during the Cold War. However, it did have close relationships with both Moscow and the West, like London and Washington, D.C. It received financial aid from both sides of the “Iron Curtain” to develop its national infrastructure, especially highways, dams, airports, and power generation.

Here are some stills of how Afghanistan used to look like in the 1970’s. Credits: Stanford University
A view of Kabul, the Capital City of Afghanistan
River Kabul, which passes through the city
A thoroughfare in the city of Kabul

Despite these advances, Afghanistan suffered from political turmoil. Afghanistan, which was a monarchy before the 1964 constitutional amendment, became a constitutional-monarchy before being abolished by Daoud Khan in a bloodless coup d’état in 1973.In 1978, another coup took place (this time there was bloodshed), after which the People’s Democratic Party of Afghanistan (PDPA) came to power. The party believed in Marxist-Leninist ideology, and historically, as any Communist Party would do upon coming to power, reworked the land distribution.

All along, the national agenda of Afghanistan was to promote national economic development with a nationalist angle, which in a way caused a tussle with their eastern neighbour Pakistan. However, after the 1978 coup, a civil war broke out in Afghanistan, where multiple groups, varying across the ideological spectrum, wanted to overthrow the PDPA government.

From a civil war to a proxy war:

While all this happened inside Afghanistan, the Soviet Union monitored the situation. The infighting between the Khaliq and Parcham factions was seen as harming the international Communist fraternity, particularly that of Soviet Russia, which saw itself as the leader of the Soviet World.

The U.S. engagement in the Vietnam war was a result of two major factors: U.S. commitment to prevent the growth of Communism under what it percieved as a Socialist “Domino Effect” in Asia; and to protect France’s control over its colony in Indochina. The war lasted for almost two decades, facing both domestic and international backlash. Image Source

Also observing the conflict closely was the USA. Just four years ago, in 1975, it lost a major war in Southeast Asia against a smaller Communist country called Vietnam. The image of the USA as a world power stopping the rise of communism was starting to be questioned, as it couldn’t prevent the divided Vietnam (i.e., North and South Vietnam) from unifying under Communist rule. The war also faced political opposition back home in the States, which caused the US to put itself in an awkward position. The USA saw this as a potential opportunity to seek revenge for their defeat in Vietnam.

As the Russian military pushed through Kabul and took control of the situation in order to maintain “peace”, the USA, using smaller proxies such as Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, started to pump billions of dollars’ worth of investments into the guerrilla war happening in Afghanistan. As these fighters became known, they were funded by the Pakistani government as early as 1984, primarily to “Islamacize” the Afghan “barbarians” (as then Pakistani dictator General Zia-ul-Haq would put it) and to wage a proxy war against India in the disputed regions of Jammu and Kashmir.Pakistan desperately needed this because their confidence in confronting India in a direct military confrontation had been shattered earlier in the 1971 Bangladesh Liberation War and the subsequent Indo-Pakistan War in the Western theatre.The case of Saudi Arabia’s entering into this proxy war is slightly different from that of either the USA or Pakistan.

A power-struggle in the Middle East

Saudi Arabia became one of the biggest benefactors of oil discovery in the region. Oil was first discovered in Dhahran, which is now part of Saudi Arabia. The place also has the world’s largest oil reserves.

Ever since oil was discovered in the Middle East in 1938, the region has become a hotbed for political struggle. Those who control oil also control the inflow of money and power. This region is dominated by Islam, which in turn is divided into two big sects: the Shia and the Sunni. Each state in the Middle East follows an official sect. For instance, in this case, Saudi Arabia follows the Sunni sect, preaching and practising an ideology known as “Wahhabism” (which I shall expand upon soon). Wahhabism is part of a larger ideology called “Salafism”, which insists on reverting back to the orthodox style of Islam.

States which follow Shiite sects are primarily Iran, with a large number of Shiites living in parts of Iraq too. The long simmering ideological differences have taken a violent struggle since ancient times, and this has just evolved into a more sophisticated confrontation in contemporary times.

Wahhabism believes that Saudi Arabia should rightfully be the leader of the Islamic world and that the religion should expand to other parts of the world, with the ‘Caliph’ in Saudi Arabia. But in reality, things were very different. In 1979, the rather moderate Shah Pahlavi of Iran was ousted in an Islamic Revolution by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, cementing Shiite ideology as the basis of Iranian society. What was once a minor threat quickly became the focal point of an Iranian nation-state.Other than that, Saudi Arabia also faced stiff competition from its own brothers. Qatar, which also follows Salafism, is also in the same race to become the leader of the Arab world. Furthermore, Qatar has close diplomatic relations with Iran, which Saudi Arabia considers its arch rival in the region.

Saddam Hussein emerged to be one of the most powerful men in the Middle East, commanding the 4th largest armed forces in the world as of the 1980’s.

The 1970s also saw the rise of Iraqi strongman dictator Saddam Hussein, who also strived to make Iraq the strongest in the region. Although unrelated to the Afghan conflict, Saudi Arabia and Iraq had a good diplomatic relationship during the Iran-Iraq war, when Saudi funded Iraq’s war machinery.Things took a sour turn in 1990, when Iraq, unable to repay its war loans, invaded the small state of Kuwait. The speculation was: “If Saddam Hussein didn’t bother invading Kuwait, well it could as well be Saudi Arabia tomorrow…”, and in a bid to’self-defence’, Saudi Arabia didn’t hesitate to invite the USA into the Gulf, and as tensions escalated, the USA launched “Operation Desert Shield” and subsequently “Operation Desert Storm” in 1991, leading to a direct confrontation with Iraq.

Back to Afghanistan, the years 1980–81

Now, Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and the United States are fighting an ideological war against the Soviets in Afghanistan.It is to be noted that the Mujahideen were never directly funded by the Americans. What they did was, the amount was parsed to the Pakistanis, especially their Inter Services Intelligence (ISI), who later disbursed it to the fighters. This gave Pakistan the free will to decide what kind of supplies and training the mujahideen should receive.

One might now wonder what happened to the fleeing Afghan civilians. The Saudis contributed their part by setting up madrassas in Pakistan and funding them. These madrassas were used to shelter the refugees, especially able and fit men. Apart from providing relief, these schools were also used as a front to prepare future mujahideen by radicalising them. It is also to be noted that the USA never bothered about the Afghan refugees or their re-education or resettlement. All this was taken care of by the Saudis and Pakistanis.

An abandoned Soviet MiG-21 fighter aircraft somewhere near Bhagram Airfield in Afghanistan. The picture was clicked sometime in 2002, during OPERATION ENDURING FREEDOM. Image Credits: U.S. National Archives; Source
An abandoned T-54A tank lies in the vicinity of Bhagram Airfield. Image Courtesy: U.S. National Archives

Several mujahideen groups were established through this period, which would take the guerilla war into Afghanistan. However, in 1989, the Soviet Union decided to withdraw from Afghanistan, and the purpose of funding these fighters (at least from the US point of view) was gone. The USA stopped aiding the fighters from then on…

If that was the case, then why did the issue become more dreaded, leading to the deadly 9/11 terrorist attacks and the subsequent U.S. Global War on Terror (GWoT)? Read my next issue to find out.

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Russia’s continuing obsession with desparation

August 12, 2000
Barents Sea,

K-141 Kursk was considered to be the most advanced submarine from the Northern Fleet, thereby earning the title “Pride of the Northern Fleet”. Credits: oscerF/DeviantArt

The Russian navy is engaging in a massive war game along Muramansk region. The Northern Fleet has deployed its best war machine: The 949A Antey-class submarine, K-141 Kursk.

What happens in a highly anticipated sucess, would stain the history of naval warfare forever. 119 men perish in an accident that could’ve been avoided. (Read more in my college feature on the disaster, which I wrote 2 years ago: https://www.nsoj.in/stories/on-that-fateful-day )

Apart from it being an observance today, why is Kursk incident relevant? Russia has been fighting a “Special Military Operation” in Donetsk and Luhansk region since February 24th this year. What should’ve ideally ended in a “week or so” and was more or less a “geographically contained conflict” has been raging on for 7 months now!! The heads of the Russian military devised 6 plans and have failed in all of them, now continuing with the “yet more” desperate 7th one.

Exactly 22 years ago, Russian Armed Forces, in a bid to show their might, started off with a military exercise called “SummerX” in the Arctic region. It involved ships, fighter aircraft and even submarines. It started off on August 11th 2000, and was expected to be completed by 14th. The whole world, especially the NATO, was observing the war games closely. And then… The Kursk disaster.

Back to present, we are seeing one of the world’s military giants, Russia, fighting a prolonged war against its former Soviet, Ukraine. What’s even more interesting is that the entire world was expecting the war to get wrapped up in a massive “endgame”, with Russia decimating Ukraine altogether, but fortunately or unfortunately, this didn’t attain fruition. The reason being that the high command was very complacent.

In case of the Kursk, it was a faulty torpedo, which leaked HTP (High-Test Peroxide), from a faulty welding on the “Fat Girl” torpedo (A Type 65-76A Kit variant). The sonobuoys could not be deployed because it was “welded” to the hull because it would just engage even due to the slightest vibration. The faulty construction inside the bow compartment itself, led to the explosion and flames to spread to the second compartment, the Command Centre. Metal belts went missing from the escape suits, which the surviving crew of 23 could not wear.

Here is a cutaway technical diagram of the Oscar-II class of submarines (also known as Project 959A/AM “Antey”) class, to which the Kursk belongs. Image Credits: H I Suttion

But more than these, the biggest problem was political chauvinism. It was true that the Soviet Union was a military power, but its legal successor state, Russia could perhaps never recuperate from these losses to become a military might. It can, provided bureaucracy and a high headed top brass didn’t run the country. When the Kursk sunk in 2000, the Russian navy wasn’t even in a position to save its stranded crew. Its DSRV (Deep Submergence Rescue Vehicle) was in utter disrepair. It couldn’t be put to sea…

But things could’ve been much better. The Russian leadership was given the opportunity to seek help from other nations, but the ego of these folks did not allow that to happen. Why would Russia want to seek help from its former cold War enemies? To answer this we need to ask, as to why Russia was conducting the exercises at the first place? Russia just wanted to “prove” to the Americans that the Russian military never fell! AT ALL!!!

Something similar is seen in the ongoing war in Ukraine as well… You have Russia, which js trying to tell the west, that its sphere of influence still extends into the Baltic region. It wants to show that its influence can still be exerted along these regions. Around the same time, in late January 2022, Russia, as a part of CSTO was planning to send troops into Kazakhistan, with the outbreak of protests due to inflation and poor Labour conditions.

In 2000, the Fleet commander, Admiral Vyacheslav Alekseyvich Popov, was in denial, when the Kursk went missing. Perhaps fearing outrage within public as well as the government, the news of Kursk’s dissapearence never reached the headquarters until late that evening. The was supposed to report to the commanding vessel, Pyotr Velikiy. Even after it was reported, active rescue efforts were not taken until after 2 days of Kremlin becoming aware of such an incident. By the time the rescue even started, under absolute circumstances, the surviving crew would’ve also perished.

In present, the Russian military brass are oblivious to their tactical level performance. The Russians resorted to using cruise and ballistic missiles to compensate for the lack of Precision Guided Munitions (PGM). The Russian navy witnessed the loss of an Atlant class guided missile cruiser Moskva, being hit by Ukrainian missiles (two R-360 Neptune AShM). Many were even astonished to see much reputed aircraft platforms such as the Sukhoi Su-30/34s being shot down. Some sources even suggest that top of the line Su-35 multi role aircraft could have also been shot down…

… But two things remain in common. 1) Vladimir Putin still undisputedly remains the most powerful man in Russia, as was in 2000, and 2) the ambiguous nature of public opinions on both issues. When the Kursk sunk, active efforts were taken to clamp public outrage at all costs! In one such notorious incident, the mother of a sailor who perished in the disaster, was seen publicly tranquilised by members of the Russian security. In the case of Ukraine however, we don’t know what is the true Russian public perception.

Perhaps one day shall come, when we know what reality lies behind the myriad of censorship and deception…

– me

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Is China following the footsteps of Russia???

Yesterday, the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) fired several rockets believed to be fired using PHL-16 Multiple Launch Rocket System (MLRS) from Fujian Province, four of which landed in the Sea of Japan. The PLA claims to be holding a large scale military exercise along the South China Sea, as US Speaker of the House of Representatives, Nancy Pelosi is on an official visit to Taipei. While the aggression was well anticipated, it gets eerily similar to that of Russia’s war in Ukraine, which started off as a “Special Military Operation”, an exercise meant to evaluate the readiness of the Russian military along its Western borders

Above are some stills captured from footage taken of the MLRS launch from across the Strait of Taiwan. There are multiple fundamental clarifications to be made. Why is China becoming belligerent all of a sudden? What are China’s true intentions along Taiwan? Will the U.S respond to China’s aggression, and if so how? What would the outcomes of such a conflict be? And for Indian readers, how will the conflict impact India specifically? I shall be covering these questions in this blog, so stay tuned!

Why is China belligerent against Taiwan all of a sudden?

While the typical textbook answer to this would be that the People’s Republic of China follows a “One China Policy”, which claims that Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan all belong to the sovereign territory of the PRC, the reality stands different from what most think. I have been reading about Indian Foreign Policy, Indian Military History, especially that pertaining to the Sino-Indian border dispute for over two years now, reading upon what both China and India claim as their ‘official’ narratives, and here’s what I can conclude confidently from my prior research.

This map shows what the People’s Republic of China (PRC) claims as its sovereign territory. Image copyright status: Public Domain

China virtually has a border dispute with all of its neighbours, from a small nation like Vietnam and Myanmar, to that of big ones like India and Russia, and China has conveniently used each of these border disputes to its political advantage whenever required. The biggest example that I’m aware of is the Sino-Indian border war of 1962, which China likes to call the “1962 Self Defence Counterattack War”. The general Chinese narrative is that the Indian Army started to conduct intrusive manoeuvres into South Tibet (Arunachal Pradesh, which was then known as North Eastern Frontier Agency) and XUAR (Xinjiang Uyghur Autonomous Region) Provinces. The end result (as what they claim) was a preemptive counterattack against Indian aggression. (as claimed by authors Neville Maxwell and Alastair Lamb in their specific works on this topic)

Now, anybody would believe that’s the case. Whether you’re an Indian, a Chinese or an individual from any other nation, you’d believe that it was just a war where one side conveniently attacked the other (mind, I’m not specifying who attacked whom) as any other war. What gets really peculiar is the date at which the war began: 20th October 1962. The event coincides with the Cuban Missile Crisis, which began a few days earlier on 16th October 1962. While waging a war otherwise would attract American and Western attention towards Asia, the crisis served as a convenient distraction for China to fight a war.

Renowned journalist Bertil Lintner, in his book China’s India war writes “‘Two years before the military offensive’ began in October 1962 means at
least a year before the Forward Policy was conceived, which makes it hard to
argue that India’s moves in the area provoked China to attack. Furthermore, the
date, 20 October 1962, for the final assault after years of preparations was
carefully chosen because it would coincide with the Cuban missile crisis, which
the Chinese knew about beforehand through their contacts with the leaders of
the Soviet Union. With Soviet missiles on Cuba, the Chinese were convinced
that the USA would be too preoccupied to pay much attention to a war in the
distant Himalayas.”

An American PGM-19 Jupiter missile is being erected, waiting to be launched anytime towards a strategic Soviet target during the Cuban missile crisis. Credits: U.S. Air Force
Image captured by an American U-2 Spyplane showing missile sites within Cuba. Credits: Central Investigation Agency
Another image captured by U-2 showing positions of various missile launch sites in Cuba. Credits: Central Investigation Agency
Soviet Foxtrot-class submarine B-59 being forces to the surface by the U.S. Navy. Credits: U.S. Government Archives

Vol.3

At the brink of a nuclear war

The Cuban missile crisis saw the entire world come to the brink of a mutually assured destruction, when both the erstwhile Soviet Union and the USA brought in nuclear missiles close to each other’s borders. One small miscommunication during the heightened tension could have lead to a massive catastrophe, a thousand times more deadlier than the bomb exploded in Hiroshima and Nagasaki

But if China wanted to wage a war to prove its might against a rather ‘weak’ opponent India, why would it do so, shrouded under the myriad of swiftness and secrecy? Lintner continues to write in his book “India had been identified by everyone in the top leadership of the CCP as the
main regional enemy as early as 1959, and could therefore serve as a unifying
factor as well as a pretext for purging the Party of ‘revisionists’ and other
‘undesirable elements’. At the time India was facing a highly disciplined and
brilliantly efficient war machine in the Himalayas, it was not known that China
was barely recovering from one of the worst famines in its history, a man made
disaster created by Mao’s own disastrous policies…” China conveniently used the Sino-Indian war as a ‘cover up’ to distract its population from the pangs of the ‘Great Leap Forward’.Another giveaway to the possibility that China had nothing to do with geographical interests, but a political fiasco was when the war ended. Ideally, any country which wins a war would annexe their opponent’s ts territory, but this wasn’t the case in the 1962 border war. China had taken vast portions of Indian territory in Aksai Chin and NEFA all to retreat from them? It perhaps shows that China wants the problem to persist, The same was the case with the 1969 Sino-Soviet border confrontation.

Naturally, anyone at this point would ask “Does that mean that the clashes along the Pangong Tso are also a distraction by China?” The answer is a yesno. Yes, because it tried to distract the world away from the still ongoing SARS-nCov pandemic, as it originated from the city of Wuhan in China, and many speculated that it could potentially be a form of biological weapon, which was leaked out of the laboratory. It’s also a no, because it could not escalate beyond a point. The fierce resistance by Indian Forces as the various flashpoints was something that China perhaps did not expect from Indian forces. Also the clashes would have not been sufficient to trigger a war, although brigade level deployments took place on both sides. 

The Galwan valley clashes of 2020 marked a significant change in India’s diplomatic, economic and political attitude towards China. Image Credits: ThePrint

If that were the case too, that China wanted to wage a ‘serious’ war against India in 2020 itself, it would gain nothing by winning. On the other hand, to answer what are China’s true intentions for Taiwan?The latter has more strategic importance than either of Aksai Chin or Arunachal Pradesh. While Aksai Chin holds passage to greater Asia, which would help with construction of the belt and road initiative, Taiwan is the home to one of the world’s most important industries: semiconductors. Semiconductors form an integral part of the circuitry installed in mobile phones and computers. At present, the world at large is facing a shortage of semiconductors. On the other hand, China is still the world’s largest manufacturing hub, especially for electronics. Cities like ShenzhenBeijing and Shanghai house some of the world’s largest tech firms such as Huawei, Tencent and Xiaomi.

How well is Taiwan defended against a Chinese invasion? Map by Bloomberg

Ideally, China’s main intention is not to wage an ‘ideologically driven war’, but that of a strategic war. The main goal would perhaps be to take over the semiconductor industry, in order to cement its position in the global market as an IT product manufacturing hub. Secondly, Taiwan, although a small island, houses significant importance in the strategic affairs of East Asia. Accessing Taiwan would enable China to easily fire rockets and missiles at South Korea, and easily target the Western coast of Japan as well. It is estimated that access to the island of Taiwan would give the Chinese Strategic Rocket Forces an extended range of over 100-150 nautical miles. Capturing nearby islands, especially along the Penghu island, would allow China to come into close proximity with Japan’s Senkaku islands.

Why is China doing all this in August 2022, and say not a couple of years earlier? To know why, don’t forget to check out issue 2 of this blog series… If you like my work, you can show your support by providing constructive feedbacks and sharing this post. Thank you in advance!!!

Shuttering the COVID-19 world: A photo feature of the unlocking city

This is a photo-feature by me, composed during the unlocking process back in June. This photo-feature shows how the pandemic and lockdown, as a whole, has impacted the society, as what would’ve been expected as any other “usual” year…

Social distancing in hotels: strict social distancing has been followed at hotels. Image date: 10 June. ©Arjun Iyer Photography
Rather empty roads… : Bombay Dyeing road, near Yeshwantpur, is one of the busiest streets in Bangalore, seems rather empty on a Wednesday morning. Image Date: 10 June. ©Arjun Iyer Photography
Supermarkets become the lifeline of people: These uncertain times have rendered normal brick and mortar shops as inadequate to handle mass buyoffs. Seen here is a long que in front of Reliance Fresh supermarket on Mathikere main road. Image date: 14th July. ©Arjun Iyer Photography
The summer that wasn’t: One could find children flocking in the apartment pool this time, exactly a year ago. Image date: 4th June
Cleanliness is the key to survival: The lock down had prevented the housekeeping staff from entering the apartment. To keep the apartment perimeters clean, all the residents joined hands to take up this, rather unacceptable job. Source: SSAA Date: circa April
Impact of lock down on domestic animals: The lock down has not only created problems for humans, but also for animals. Even animals experience anxiety and uncertainty during these times. Image Date: 10 July. ©Arjun Iyer Photography
The traffic still doesn’t seem to reduce…

Dr. Shiro Ishii: A forgotten war criminal

READER DISCRETION REQUIRED : The following content would include some very disturbing experiences and anecdotes from history of biological warfare and hence, might disturb readers mentally and emotionally. People who are afraid of reading such content, may kindly stop here itself

nCov virus structure

When the whole world is going frenzy over weather COVID-19 is a biological warfare programme which got out of human control, we all forgot that one person who is responsible for killing over 10 million people in Occupied China under the Imperial Japanese Army. It wasn’t a massacre by the edge of a sword or bullets of a gun, but through smaller, invisible but far deadlier microorganisms. The person, who cleverly masterminded this, is none other than Surgeon General Shirō Ishii, who spearheaded the infamous Unit 731 of the Imperial Japanese Army (IJA), responsible for developing biological weapons to the then ongoing Second World War.

Surgeon General Ishii Shirō

Born to Katsuya Ishii, a wealthy landlord, on 25th June 1892, Ishii was both a good academician as well as a very patriotic person. Unlike most people of Japanese ethnicity, Ishii was rather tall, almost 6”1’, and had an exceptionally strong photographic memory. He excelled in his studies back in his home town Chiba. Ishii served as a field medical officer with the IJA starting from 1922. Furthermore he even qualified with a PhD in microbiology from the University of Kyoto in 1927. He was disliked by his peers and students, because he used to perform experiments with the remaining equipment, left uncleaned by his students, but leaving it dirty himself. He was also known to be growing “bacterium pets”, during his post graduate studies in the University of Kyoto

When it seemed that war in China was imminent, Ishii proposed the idea for setting up a biological warfare unit in order to use Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMDs), against potential enemies. He extensively toured the Western countries, to understand how would his experiments impact warfare, which he determined to be quite valuable.

Japanese troops during invasion of Shanghai

When Japan advanced into the Ping Fang city in Harbin province in 1935, a separate installation was set up by the Kempeitai, the IJA’s secret police department, to overlook experimentation. Already the Japanese were infamous for being brutal in their executions, this unit became an icing on the cake. The unit was responsible for bringing in epidemics upon epidemics in North East China, to massacre the Chinese, who were against the invasion. Ishii would also be the first to use Anthrax as a biological weapon in China. This is just a part of something which would be known as “Nanking Massacre” as a whole.

Unit 731 soldiers performing experiments on captured children

Ishii was known to be very ruthless. He used to oversee dreaded experiments by himself. Some of his ruthless experiments included exposing victims to frostbite, leading to gangrene, and futher amputation without anaesthetic, until only the head and the torso were left. The remaining body, still alive, would be injected with bubonic plague, and dissected without any anaesthetic, to observe how the disease spread across the body. The body was then let to rot outside the facility and then buried in mass graves. Other experiments incuded forces pregnancies, gassing subjects with airborne diseases, making rats eat away subjects to death, pressurising the human body until the subjects eyeballs popped out of the skull. One such surgeon recollected how he smashed a skull open, with an axe, because Colonel Ishii wanted a brain to experiment on. None were spared, from infants to senior citizens.

The infamous Unit 731 building in Harbin. Image credit: 松岡明芳, CC-BY SA 3.0

When the war began to change tides, Shirō personally ordered the facility to be destroyed, and let the bubonic rats free. Hs even ensured that tanks containing dangerous gases be exploded, so that it would contaminate the surrounding areas. The impact of this decision is still observable to this date. He managed to escape arrest until 1946, when the Americans identified and arrested him, but unlike other war criminals, he was given immunity against sharing his research with American pharmaceutical companies, the main of which was how to cure frostbites with minimal medical attention.

Shirō died on 9th October 1959, due to cancer in Tokyo. Upon further research on his childhood, it seemed eminent that most of Ishii’s behaviour was due to the way he was nurtured. He suffered from Antisocial Personal Disorder, which made him extremely ruthless in his experiments. It is also quite common amongst people od his generation to be ruthless, as there was a cultural change in Japan, which glorified the “Bushido” od the warriors code, and expected soldiers to be extremely loyal to the emperor and be ruthless on the battlefield. He is still considered as one of the most intelligent pathologist, but that his deeds have brought him a very bad reputation amongst the kith and kin of those who died under his cruelty…

Remembering the Kursk disaster: How it changed the Russian Navy altogether

This article pays homage to the 118 sailors, who perished aboard the Russian submarine K-141 Kursk, exactly 20 years ago. May their souls rest in peace

20 years ago, on this very fateful day, the pride of the Northern Fleet, the once assumed “unsinkable” Kursk submarine of the Russian Navy, went down the ocean floor around 350ft under the Barents sea. The shocking disappearance of this submarine, was kept hidden from the public eyes and ears for almost 2 days, until the Northern Fleet confirmed of the loss. The unthinkable had happened. To understand the story, one needs to go back to 1991.

The once strong Soviet Navy, fell to the pangs of disintegration of the Soviet Union. The force as a whole, witnessed sharp decline in funding, resulting in a huge portion of the once Soviet navy, either being passed on to its successor states or lay rotting at various ports across Russia. The Russian armed forces had to be brought to its prime. The newly appointed Prime Minister Vladimir Putin, announced a 3 day military exercise, named “Summer-X”, to be held from 10th to 13th August. The exercise was to witness a grand manoeuvre, comprising of 30 warships and 3 submarines, which also included the Kursk. The exercise was the first ever to be conducted in over a decade.

Understanding the Kursk submarine:

Artwork of K-141 “Kursk” submarine. Source: Sevmash shipyard official handle on Instagram

The Kursk (penant number K-141), was a Project 949A “Antey” (NATO reporting name “Oscar II” class) nuclear powered, cruise missile carrying submarine. The Kursk, was the youngest boat of her class, being laid down on 22nd March 1992, and put to commission on 30th December 1996. The Kursk, even when belonging to an older class of submarines, could be compared to Akula-I class submarines. She was as long as 2 Boeing jumbo jets parked together, could carry 24 Granit cruise missiles. She had a complement of 118 sailors. Of the submarines in the North Fleet, only she had the permission to carry her complete combat load at all times.

Silhouette of Project 949A “Antey” (NATO reporting: Oscar-II class) submarine

On that fateful day…

Kursk was expected to fire a Type-65 “Kit” torpedo against the corvette Pyotr Velikiy (Peter the Great), to demonstrate her firepower. At 11:28AM local time, there was an underwater explosion at the location of Kursk, 100m underwater. This was followed by Another explosion 135 seconds later. It had so happened that the initial explosion had caused the temperature and pressure to increase rapidly, causing the hull to rupture. At first, the corvette remained unsuspicious, but tensions started to brew further, when Kursk failed to establish radio contact at 13:30HRS. The Russian navy downplayed the whole incident, in the pretext of a national outrage. Attempts to rescue the survivors didn’t start off until 12 hours later. In the end, the submarine went down the ocean with all hands aboard.

Investigations:

On 8th October 2001, a year after the disaster, the remnants of the hull were recovered from the seabed. Unlike what the Russian Navy claimed in the beginning, that all the crew were killed in the initial explosion, the recovered wreckage bought along with it bodies of 23 dead sailors. Additionally 3 letters were also discovered, 2 written by Captain-Lieutenant Dmitry Kolesnikov and one by Lieutenant Commander Rashid Aryapov. The analysis of the three letters, suggested the following chronology of events:

events:
When the two blasts occurred, the submarines nuclear reactors (in compartment 5) had shut down due to the automatic safety function. All compartments ahead of compartment 6 remained inaccessible, presuming that the initial explosion had killed everyone in those compartments, including Captain First rank Gennady Lyachin. The surviving crew, numbering 23, who were scattered from compartments 6 to 9, immediately located to the 9th compartment, where the senior most officer, Capt-Lt. Kolesnikov took a roll call. The crew survived on potassium superoxide cartridges, to keep them breathing. Unfortunately, the remaining crew died when a flash fire broke out in the 9th compartment apparently when a sailor dropped a superoxide cartridge in the already waist deep water (mixed with engine oil), causing an explosion. The crew died of either burns or suffocation due to resulting smoke.

Captain First rank late Gennady Lyachin, Hero of the Russian Federation

Additionally the cause for the initial explosion was determined as well. It turned out that the torpedo used high-test peroxide, a very reactive compound for propulsion. During the loading of the torpedo, HTP started seeping out of a faulty weld, reacting with the copper alloyed torpedo tube of the Kursk, causing an explosion.

Captain Lieutenant late Dmitry Kolesnikov, Order of the Courage
Lieutenant Commander late Rashid Aryapov, Order of the courage

Aftermath of the disaster:

The disaster highlighted that the Russian Navy hadn’t completely recuperated from the fund crunch problems after the fall of the Soviet Union. But the disaster did bring in a lot of changes in the navy. First step was to immediately decommission torpedoes using HTPs as propulsion. A major factor involved in the accident was the poor state of the submarine. The stricken submarine could’ve been detected, if the crew had fired an emergency buoy, but the buoy was welded to the hull, because the crew feared earlier that the malfunctioning buoy would dislodge, even at the slightest prevarication. Another discovery was that the crew did not follow safety precautions to the fullest and were not adequately trained. To improve this, over the past few years the Russian Navy has increased the number of drills and exercises, and the quality of training has been improved. The submarine flotilla as a whole has been revamped over the last 20 years. Today, the Russian navy has regained its title as a “Blue water navy”, meaning that it is capable of fighting a war literally anywhere across the world. The Russian navy has also inducted improved safety features into its submarines, such as an escape capsule to enable the evacuation of all crew from a stricken submarine. Older classes such as the Oscar-II class are being upgraded with modern technology, whilst the older submarines (Oscar-I) are being replaced with newer Yasen M and Borei class submarines. Deep Submergence Rescue Vehicles (DSRV) are also being improved and upgraded to prevent another disaster such as the Kursk, ever again in the history of both the Russian Navy and humankind as a whole

A Russian Navy Borei-class submarine at sea

And as for the crew, they were awarded “Order of the courage” medals posthumously, and Captain Gennady Lyachin was awarded “Hero of Russia” medal. The sail of the submarine has been restored as a memorial for the fallen crew.

HAL HF-24 “Marut”: India’s first indigenous fighter aircraft (writer’s cut)

When we talk of “Make in India” defence equipment, the first name which comes to our minds is the Light Combat Aircraft, a.k.a the HAL Tejas, but how many of us know that Tejas is not the first indigenous fighter aircraft to enter service with our armed forces. This article is about the underrated HAL HF-24 Marut.

The HF-24, which stands for Hindustan Fighter 24, is a twin-engined, low wing, transonic fighter-bomber designed by Kurt Tank for the Hindustan Aeronautics Limited. Kurt Tank, is a renowned German aircraft designer , who is known for designing the famous WWII Fighter Aircraft, the Focke Wūlf Fw-190. The requirement for an indigenous supersonic aircraft was placed sometime around 1959, when India was still procuring transonic aircraft such as the Hawker Siddley Hunter F.56 and Folland Gnat F.1 (Transonic refers to an aircraft which can fly as speeds equal to that of sound, i.e, 1,228 km/hr, whereas Supersonic aircraft are those which can fly well over twice the speed of sound!)

The first scale wooden mock-up, X-241 , took to the skies on April 3rd 1959, towed by a Dakota transport aircraft. After 86 such unmanned tug flights and several modifications to the landing gears, the first manned flight took place on 24th June 1961, but it wasn’t until 1967 that these aircraft entered into frontline Squadrons for operational service. The aircraft was nicknamed “Marut”, which means “Spirit of the tempest” in Sanskrit.

3 point view diagram of the Marut

The Marut went on to serve with 3 front-line Squadrons, vis-à-vis, No. 10 Sqn. “Daggers”, No. 31 Sqn. “Lions” and No. 220 Sqn. “Desert Tigers”. The type also proved woethy during the 1971 Indo-Pakistan over the Western theatre of the Bangladesh Liberation War. The aircraft saw first combat during the “Battle of Longewala”, along with Hawker Hunters of the 122 ad-hoc Squadron posted at the newly formed Jaisalmer Air Force Base. The type even scored a kill against a Pakistani Sabre fighter jet. On the evening of 6th December 1971, Wing Commander Krishen Kumar Bakshi shot down an enemy aircraft, while attacking ground targets near Naya Chor, Pakistan. For his gallant act, he was awarded the Vir Chakra, 3rd highest battle honour of India. The Maruts went on to serve until 1990.

Maruts over Rajpath, sometime during the 1980s. Image source: http://www.BharatRakshak.com

But what the people don’t know…

What the people don’t know is that, what started out to be a very ambitious project, turned out to be a very lopsided one towards the end. The Marut, which was designed to be a supersonic aircraft, never achieved it’s objective. Even after being powered by 2x Bristol Siddley Orpheus 703 engines, the aircraft could only attain a speed of Mach 0.93, which is a bit slower than the speed of sound. Moreover, due to lobbying by Western aircraft companies, no further improvement was carried out towards the underperforming engines. Eventually, in 1978 , the Anglo-French SEPECAT Jaguar was chosen as a replacement for the type, fulfilling the role of a strike aircraft. At the time these birds were showed a good-bye, some of the airframes hadn’t even flown for more than 100 hours, which is very less for an aircraft. Due to further lobbying, the follow-up project of the HAL HFX (Hindustan Fighter Xperimental) HF-73, never took to life.

What if the HFX took to life???Art by me

Only 147 Maruts were produced. However, the Marut did leave a legacy of being an indigenous fighter plane, originating from a third world country like India. It still remains dear to those who designed and assembled them and much loved by those who flew them…

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